A re - examination of an Irish government popularity function

نویسندگان

  • Michael Harrison
  • Michael Marsh
چکیده

This paper focuses on replication in the sense of Herrnson (1995). It reexamines the only study of an Irish popularity function (Borooah and Borooah, 1990) in the light of recent developments in econometric methodology and in Irish politics. Using error correction models the analysis provides an alternative account of the relationship between economics and government popularity to that provided by Borooah and Borooah. The findings indicate that the short-term impact of the economy is weaker than, and different from, that suggested by them. Economic influences at most set the general level of government approval rather than determine the quarter-by-quarter fluctuations. Acknowledgements This paper is forthcoming in Public Choice. The authors wish to thank Vani Borooah for providing his data set, and the European Editor of Public Choice, Friedrich Schneider, and an anonymous referee for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies. The views expressed in this paper are the authors' and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Department of Economics, Trinity College, Dublin.

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تاریخ انتشار 1998